مجلة البحوث الاقتصادية والمالية
Volume 7, Numéro 2, Pages 390-410

Bayesian Survival Study On The Integration Impact Of The Unemployed At The Ain El Benian Local Employment Agency (january 2011-july 2013)

Authors : Hamimes Ahmed . Benamirouche Rachid .

Abstract

In this article, the Kaplan Meier model is used in the survival analysis and according to a Bayesian conception in the context of using the posterior mean approach to determine the mean value of the risk in the study of the impact of the unemployed registered with the local employment agency of Ain El Benian (January 2011-July 2013). This method makes it possible to probabilize the average value of the risk of chance and to compare it with the national unemployment rate; in this way, it is possible to measure the integration value of the unemployed at this agency.

Keywords

the posterior mean approach ; Kaplan Meier model ; unemployment.