مجلة البشائر الاقتصادية
Volume 9, Numéro 2, Pages 92-112
2023-08-31
دراسة العلاقة بين سعر صرف الدينار الجزائري ومحدداته خلال الفترة (1990-2021)
الكاتب : عمور مختار . عبد الله ياسين .
الملخص
The paper aimed to study the relationship between the Algerian dinar exchange rate and its determinants. The study included GDP, inflation, interest rate, money supply, trade openness and oil price as exchange rate determinants during the period (1990-2021). We used the descriptive analytical approach and econometric method relied on the cointegration methodology using the ARDL model. The study concluded that there is a long-term balanced relationship between the exchange rate and its determinants and all variables were statistically significant but it had a little impact on the exchange rate. The results showed that there is a negative relationship between the exchange rate and GDP, inflation, interest rate and trade openness in the long and short run, however the oil price had a positively impact on the exchange rate in the both run, and money supply has impacted positively in the long run and negatively in the short run.
الكلمات المفتاحية
سعر الصرف ; محددات سعر الصرف ; دينار جزائري ; اقتصاد جزائري
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