مجلة الإستراتيجية والتنمية
Volume 10, Numéro 1, Pages 208-227
2020-01-01
The Determinants Of Algerian Trade Balance Using An Ardl Approach
Authors : Bouguesba Cherif . Bouabdallah Ali .
Abstract
The purpose of this research paper is to find out empirically the essential factors that determine the Algerian trade balance in both short and long-period, by using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to co- integration and the associated error correction model (ECM) based on the annual data for the period (1980 - 2017). The findings showed that Algerian trade balance has different determinants than many countries, and the natural resources availability factor is the main determinant of this balance, it confirms the reality that the Algerian economy is a rent economy. Furthermore to other determinants that have had its effect (real effective exchange rate, economic growth, Government spending).While there was no impact of foreign direct investment.
Keywords
Trade Balance; Determinants; ARDL; Algeria.
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