الريادة لاقتصاديات الأعمال
Volume 6, Numéro 2, Pages 432-451
2020-01-23

قياس تأثير تقلبات أسعار النفط على توازن الموازنة العامة في الجزائر خلال الفترة (1980-2016)

الكاتب : شباب سيهام .

الملخص

Algeria has focused heavily on hydrocarbons and this for some time, resulting in dependence on oil revenues to finance development projects. As a result, a direct relationship between oil prices and tax revenues and total revenues can be conceived which puts pressure on the state budget and raises doubts about the financing of objectives. .Based on this, our study focuses on the measurement of the effects of fluctuations in oil prices on the state budget through an econometric model, which measures this relationship through a modeled work on error correction.The conclusion shows statistical and econometric effects and a long-term relationship between the price of oil and the state budget.

الكلمات المفتاحية

تقلبات أسعار النفط ; رصيد الم ; ازنة العامة ; سعر الصرف ; رصيد الميزان التجاري ; الجزائر