مجلة بحوث متقدمة في الاقتصاد واستراتيجيات الاعمال

Advanced Research in Economics and Business Strategy Journal

Description

Advanced Research in Economics and Business Strategy Journal is a peer-reviewed, scientific, biannual, international, free-of-charge, open-access journal published by the Faculty of Economics, Business, and Management Sciences of the University of Oran 2. The journal is issued regularly in two issues (June and December) each year. The journal is interested in the following fields of research:

  • Business, Management, and Accounting
  • Economics, Econometrics, and Finance

The journal publishes original research articles, review articles and case studies. The journal is committed to providing a high-quality publication platform for researchers from all over the world.

Annonce

Submitting articles

AREBUS Journal invites researchers to submit their original and unpublished research for publication in our peer-reviewed international research journal. All submitted papers will undergo a rigorous peer-review process and, if accepted, will be published in both the online and print versions of the journal.

Submissions are open now! Submit your paper through our online platform: https://www.asjp.cerist.dz/en/submission/757

Accepted papers will be published on June 30, 2024.

PUBLICATION CHARGES: FREE   

Article Processing Charges (APCs): No 

Submission Charges: No

Website :

https://revue.univ-oran2.dz/Revue/AREBUS/index.php/AREBUS

30-12-2023


4

Volumes

7

Numéros

36

Articles


Impact of Crude Oil Price Fluctuations on Consumer Price Index in Kenya

Yodah Walter,  Ouma Chrisphine,  Machel Graca,  Ajwang Jeanette, 
2024-04-01

Résumé: ABSTRACT: This study tries to determine the impact of crude oil price fluctuations on Consumer Price Index, CPI in Kenya using the monthly data from 2012M1-2023M3. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test used in the analysis to test for stationarity for the series indicated that CPI and major types of Crude oil (Kerosene, Diesel, and Super petrol) were non-stationary. The empirical analysis is carried out using cointegration by applying Johansen’s multivariate approach which reveals that not more than one cointegrating relationship holds among oil prices and CPI in Kenya. The analysis using VECM further shows that the series deviation from equilibrium to disequilibrium cannot be corrected back to equilibrium in the long run. The impulse response functions reveal that oil price shocks positively affects CPI in Kenya. As expected, the forecasted values continue to exhibit an increasing trend in the major oil type prices and CPI values in Kenya. The Jacque-Bera test for normality, ARCH-LM test for Homoscedasticity, and Portmanteau test for serial correlation were used to test for the adequacy of the Model.

Mots clés: Crude Oil, Consumer Price Index, VECM, Inflation, Gross Domestic Product


Does Monetary Policy Matter for Economic Growth in Tanzania? A Critical Analysis

Miku Benjamine G.,  Katunzi Tumaini M., 
2024-04-01

Résumé: This paper aims to examine the influence of monetary policy on economic growth of Tanzania utilizing the Autoregressive Distributed Lad model (ARDL). Analysing yearly time series data from 1970 to 2022, the study contributes by offering empirical insights into whether monetary policy impacts economic growth in Tanzania. The empirical findings indicate that in the long run, there is a negative relationship between growth of monetary aggregates (base money M0 and broad/near money M2) and economic growth. There is also a positive relationship between expansion of broader money supply (M3) and the growth of the economy in Tanzania. However, in the short-run the paper discovers a positive relationship between base money (M0) and economic growth and a negative relationship between discount window rate and short-term economic growth. The paper suggests reassessment if the existing monetary policy frameworks in light of the observed negative relationship, continue backing for a conducive monetary policy environment to facilitate positive connection between broader money supply (M3) and economic growth, and considering adjusting the discount window rate to bolster short-time economic growth as well as lowering the discount window rate since it has the potential for incentivizing borrowing and investment thereby stimulating economic activities in the short run.

Mots clés: Economic Growth ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Aggregates ; Discount Rate ; ARDL



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