دور سعر الصرف الأجنبي في رفع كفاءة السیاسة النقدیة

ساسي عمر, ساسي; يوسف, يخلف مسعود

مجلة الدراسات المالية والمحاسبية
Volume 6, Numéro 1, Pages 7-18
2015-12-31

دور سعر الصرف الأجنبي في رفع كفاءة السیاسة النقدیة

الكاتب : ساسي عمر ساسي . يوسف يخلف مسعود .

الملخص

This study aims to identify a role of foreign exchange price, to increase the efficiency of monetary policy, by studying the relationship between a real exchange price & an inflation rate in Libyan economy, during 1980- 2013s. Furthermore, it was used Auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) Model for long & short run as methodology. In additional, this study found out that, there is no relationship between an inflation rate & a real exchange rate of Libyan dinars in long run, but in short run there is a positive relationship between an inflation rate for current year & an inflation rate for 3 lags (three years ago), and also, a negative relationship with a real exchange rate for 3 lags (three years ago), so it could be statement that a real exchange rate has significant effect on monetary policy. Therefore, a Libyan Monetary Authority should be taken into account a real exchange price has ability to effect of Libyan monetary policy.