تقلبات ﺃﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻨﻔﻂ وتأثيرها على سوق العمل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺠﺰﺍﺋﺮ: ﻣﻘﺎﺭﺑﺔ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ

رزق, قطوش; رمضان, بن لوكيل

مجلة اقتصاديات شمال افريقيا
Volume 13, Numéro 17, Pages 177-192
2017-06-01

تقلبات ﺃﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻨﻔﻂ وتأثيرها على سوق العمل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺠﺰﺍﺋﺮ: ﻣﻘﺎﺭﺑﺔ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ

الكاتب : رزق قطوش . رمضان بن لوكيل .

الملخص

This study attempts to analyze the impact of oil price fluctuations on the unemployment rate in the ‎context of Algerian economy in the short term as well as in the long term. During the period 1970-‎‎2016, taking into account the specific characteristics of Algerian economy and the role played by ‎oil prices in defining and shaping the political and economic policy on the other hand. Therefore, ‎the study has been divided into three main parts, in addition to the introduction and conclusion. The ‎first part includes the theoretical frame that highlights the historical evolution of oil price ‎fluctuations and their determining factors, with a presentation of the main previous studies that ‎have dealt with relationship between variables. The second part includes a definition of ‎unemployment and employment in addition to an analysis of the labor market in Algeria regarding ‎labor force, employment and unemployment on the general scale. The third part includes describing ‎variables, data resources, relationships analysis, oil price fluctuations, employment policies and ‎unemployment rates (1970-2015). ‎ The results of the analytical study confirmed the existence of synchronous integration in the long ‎term between oil prices and employment and unemployment rate. They have also shown a ‎relationship between the unemployment rate and the oil price in the short term. They have also ‎revealed that the oil price Shocks of OPEC basket have a negative effect on the unemployment rate ‎and the level of employment in Algeria‎