Revue d'économie et de statistique appliquée
Volume 20, Numéro 1, Pages 124-139
2023-06-01

The Impact Of Unemployment On Fertility In Algeria Econometric Study

Authors : Hamadouche Aicha . Aliouat Rafik . Admane , Merizek .

Abstract

This study is interested in modeling the relationship between unemployment and fertility in Algeria from 1991 to 2016.We applied the Auto Regressive Distributed Lags, (ARDL), method of modeling to model the long-term and the short-term of the dynamic impact of the unemployment rate on fertility rate in Algeria. Results estimations, in the frame of the used specification, lead to the conclusion that there is a negative impact of unemployment on fertility. The main explanation for these results is that the desire to have children is linked to couples' feelings of confidence in the future.

Keywords

Fertility, Unemployment, Co-integration, ARDL Model.