مجلة ارتقاء للبحوث و الدراسات الاقتصادية
Volume 1, Numéro 0, Pages 243-258
2018-06-30

قياس أثر الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر علىمعدلالبطالة في الجزائر خلال الفترة (2000-2015). – دراسة تحليلية قياسية-

الكاتب : بن البار امحمد . بن البار سعد .

الملخص

This study aims to measure the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the unemployment rate in Algeria during the period2000-2015, we used the latest statistical methods of time series analysis, namely the Autoregressive Distribution Lag Bounds Test (ARDL).This technique is considered a modern tool in analyzing and addressing cointegration and error correction models and allows for more accurate and efficient results.With the help of the econometric analysis program (EVIEWS-9). The main results of the research can be summarized as follows : - The Bound test approach of cointegration through the F Statistic indicates that there is a cointegration between the Unemployment rate and foreign direct investment. The calculated F Statistic was greater than the critical value at the levels of 1%,2.5%, 5% and 10% respectively. - A correlation between FDI and the long-term unemployment rate, which shows that the higher the foreign direct investment (FDI) will lead to a high unemployment rate; - There is an inverse correlation between FDI and the short-term unemployment rate, which shows that the higher the foreign direct investment (FDI) will lead to a lower unemployment rate.

الكلمات المفتاحية

Unemployment rate, foreign direct investment (FDI), co-integration, ARDL